When Genius Failed : The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management

  Author:    ROGER LOWENSTEIN
  ISBN:    0375758259
  Sales Rank:    2298
  Published:    2001-10-09
  Publisher:    Random House Trade Paperbacks
  # Pages:    288
  Binding:    Paperback
  Avg. Rating:    5.0 based on 212 reviews
  Used Offers:    32 from $8.00
  Amazon Price:    $10.17
  (Data above last updated:  2009-01-02 00:29:04 EST)
  
  
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When Genius Failed : The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management
  
John Meriwether, a famously successful Wall Street trader, spent the 1980s as a partner at Salomon Brothers, establishing the best--and the brainiest--bond arbitrage group in the world. A mysterious and shy midwesterner, he knitted together a group of Ph.D.-certified arbitrageurs who rewarded him with filial devotion and fabulous profits. Then, in 1991, in the wake of a scandal involving one of his traders, Meriwether abruptly resigned. For two years, his fiercely loyal team--convinced that the chief had been unfairly victimized--plotted their boss's return. Then, in 1993, Meriwether made a historic offer. He gathered together his former disciples and a handful of supereconomists from academia and proposed that they become partners in a new hedge fund different from any Wall Street had ever seen. And so Long-Term Capital Management was born.
        In a decade that had seen the longest and most rewarding bull market in history, hedge funds were the ne plus ultra of investments: discreet, private clubs limited to those rich enough to pony up millions. They promised that the investors' money would be placed in a variety of trades simultaneously--a "hedging" strategy designed to minimize the possibility of loss. At Long-Term, Meriwether & Co. truly believed that their finely tuned computer models had tamed the genie of risk, and would allow them to bet on the future with near mathematical certainty. And thanks to their cast--which included a pair of future Nobel Prize winners--investors believed them.
        From the moment Long-Term opened their offices in posh Greenwich, Connecticut, miles from the pandemonium of Wall Street, it was clear that this would be a hedge fund apart from all others. Though they viewed the big Wall Street investment banks with disdain, so great was Long-Term's aura that these very banks lined up to provide the firm with financing, and on the very sweetest of terms. So self-certain were Long-Term's traders that they borrowed with little concern about the leverage. At first, Long-Term's models stayed on script, and this new gold standard in hedge funds boasted such incredible returns that private investors and even central banks clamored to invest more money. It seemed the geniuses in Greenwich couldn't lose.
        Four years later, when a default in Russia set off a global storm that Long-Term's models hadn't anticipated, its supposedly safe portfolios imploded. In five weeks, the professors went from mega-rich geniuses to discredited failures. With the firm about to go under, its staggering $100 billion balance sheet threatened to drag down markets around the world. At the eleventh hour, fearing that the financial system of the world was in peril, the Federal Reserve Bank hastily summoned Wall Street's leading banks to underwrite a bailout.
        Roger Lowenstein, the bestselling author of Buffett, captures Long-Term's roller-coaster ride in gripping detail. Drawing on confidential internal memos and interviews with dozens of key players, Lowenstein crafts a story that reads like a first-rate thriller from beginning to end. He explains not just how the fund made and lost its money, but what it was about the personalities of Long-Term's partners, the arrogance of their mathematical certainties, and the late-nineties culture of Wall Street that made it all possible.
        When Genius Failed is the cautionary financial tale of our time, the gripping saga of what happened when an elite group of investors believed they could actually deconstruct risk and use virtually limitless leverage to create limitless wealth. In Roger Lowenstein's hands, it is a brilliant tale peppered with fast money, vivid characters, and high drama.
On September 23, 1998, the boardroom of the New York Fed was a tense place. Around the table sat the heads of every major Wall Street bank, the chairman of the New York Stock Exchange, and representatives from numerous European banks, each of whom had been summoned to discuss a highly unusual prospect: rescuing what had, until then, been the envy of them all, the extraordinarily successful bond-trading firm of Long-Term Capital Management. Roger Lowenstein's When Genius Failed is the gripping story of the Fed's unprecedented move, the incredible heights reached by LTCM, and the firm's eventual dramatic demise.

Lowenstein, a financial journalist and author of Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist, examines the personalities, academic experts, and professional relationships at LTCM and uncovers the layers of numbers behind its roller-coaster ride with the precision of a skilled surgeon. The fund's enigmatic founder, John Meriwether, spent almost 20 years at Salomon Brothers, where he formed its renowned Arbitrage Group by hiring academia's top financial economists. Though Meriwether left Salomon under a cloud of the SEC's wrath, he leapt into his next venture with ease and enticed most of his former Salomon hires--and eventually even David Mullins, the former vice chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve--to join him in starting a hedge fund that would beat all hedge funds.

LTCM began trading in 1994, after completing a road show that, despite the Ph.D.-touting partners' lack of social skills and their disdainful condescension of potential investors who couldn't rise to their intellectual level, netted a whopping $1.25 billion. The fund would seek to earn a tiny spread on thousands of trades, "as if it were vacuuming nickels that others couldn't see," in the words of one of its Nobel laureate partners, Myron Scholes. And nickels it found. In its first two years, LTCM earned $1.6 billion, profits that exceeded 40 percent even after the partners' hefty cuts. By the spring of 1996, it was holding $140 billion in assets. But the end was soon in sight, and Lowenstein's detailed account of each successively worse month of 1998, culminating in a disastrous August and the partners' subsequent panicked moves, is riveting.

The arbitrageur's world is a complicated one, and it might have served Lowenstein well to slow down and explain in greater detail the complex terms of the more exotic species of investment flora that cram the book's pages. However, much of the intrigue of the Long-Term story lies in its dizzying pace (not to mention the dizzying amounts of money won and lost in the fund's short lifespan). Lowenstein's smooth, conversational but equally urgent tone carries it along well. The book is a compelling read for those who've always wondered what lay behind the Fed's controversial involvement with the LTCM hedge-fund debacle. --S. Ketchum

John Meriwether, a famously successful Wall Street trader, spent the 1980s as a partner at Salomon Brothers, establishing the best--and the brainiest--bond arbitrage group in the world. A mysterious and shy midwesterner, he knitted together a group of Ph.D.-certified arbitrageurs who rewarded him with filial devotion and fabulous profits. Then, in 1991, in the wake of a scandal involving one of his traders, Meriwether abruptly resigned. For two years, his fiercely loyal team--convinced that the chief had been unfairly victimized--plotted their boss's return. Then, in 1993, Meriwether made a historic offer. He gathered together his former disciples and a handful of supereconomists from academia and proposed that they become partners in a new hedge fund different from any Wall Street had ever seen. And so Long-Term Capital Management was born.
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12-03-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Great Read, Well Written
Reviewer Permalink
This book was a great read, well written, and hard to put down. Highly recommend.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2009-01-02 00:32:10 EST)
12-03-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Deja Vu
Reviewer Permalink
Scary. Although LTCM rose and fell some time ago, it could be TODAY. Goes into high level of detail on the more obscure things in the capital markets. While not a quick read, an interesting one.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2009-01-02 00:32:10 EST)
11-25-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Arrogance and greed
Reviewer Permalink
This story about Long-Term Capital Management seems like a precursor to today's subprime mortgage fiasco that has come so close to collapsing the world financial markets. While much smaller in scope to the problems we are facing today, the LTC story demonstrates one sad truth : the big Wall Street players take on inordinate amount of risks and if they risk collapse, it is ultimately the taxpayer who has to bail them out.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-12-04 00:49:03 EST)
10-07-08 4 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Fun for everyone...
Reviewer Permalink
This is a fascinating book about the collapse of one of the largest and most sophisticated hedge funds of all time. The book gives great insight to the hedge fund world, as run by Nobel prize winners and other mathematical geniuses, without being technical. Anyone with a passing interest in the world of finance is likely to enjoy this book.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-11-26 00:36:31 EST)
09-16-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  A must read for all market participants
Reviewer Permalink
One of the best stories about modern finance...this book must be read by everyone committing serious money into the markets. Written approximately 10 years ago, 10 years before the bankrupcy declaration by Lehman Brothers, "When Genius Failed" presents some timely lessons that should have been learned a decade ago...but weren't for some odd reason.

#1 The issue of swaps: It is interesting that David Swenson of Yale is described here as inventing the first modern financial derivative--the swap. How ironic is it that Swenson makes no mention of investing in this toxic coolaid himself (in his books)? How ironic is it that losses in swaps were the #1 thing that brought down Long Term Capital...and all of Wall Street's titans were around to see it 10 years ago...and yet what are the financial derivatives bringing down companies like AIG today--the swap...You would have thought people would have learned! Avoid this crap!

#2 Shame on John Reed from Citibank (he was Mr. Conservative, right?)and Alan Greenspan for opposing rules that would have required regulation and disclosure related to derivatives. In retrospect, this is absolutely nuts. Certainly, Citigroup is paying the price for its participation in these same markets now---how ironic that it would likely have really benefited by regulation it opposed.

#3 It is of immense interest that Bear Sterns' Jim Cayne refused to participate with the LTCM bail out...leading other Wall Street firms to promise revenge...Well...look what happened 10 years later when Bear needed help...it was nowhere to be found.

#4 It is shocking that Wall Street never learned the lesson of LTCM's failure: leverage + deritvatives equals big trouble. That is why we are experiencing this same pain today--ten years later. LTCM should have been allowed to go bankrupt 10 years ago...bringing the banks with it...nothing else would have forced upon them a good, conservative nature. Now, unfortunately, surgery is needed to cure the patient...or it may be too late....
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-10-07 11:14:40 EST)
09-16-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management
Reviewer Permalink
An excellent read & indeed very relevant in today's' times when we see fiascos in the financial markets repeated almost every day. I expect another book from Roger Lowenstein soon on Bear Stearns, Lehman, Merrill Lynch & the state of financial markets (today). God Bless Wall Street & God Bless America! Hail Lowenstein!
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-10-07 11:14:40 EST)
08-19-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Brilliant
Reviewer Permalink
Does an excellent job of recounting the events and the people involved in the rise and fall of the hedge fund. The length of the novel is short enough to make it possible to read it in one go, the pace is fast enough, with none of the detours that authors are sometimes tempted to take (describing in excruciating and needless detail minutae that seem to serve no useful purpose other than that to fatten the book and make the tome appear more scholarly than it is). The author also does describe, in non technical terms, some of the financial instruments that were used by LCTM. These descriptions are by no means technical, and there is not a single formula in the entire book. Also, unlike some other authors, Lowenstein does not fall into the trap of describing the lifestyles of the protagonists in lurid detail. We do get a glimpse into how the main actors lived, ostentatious or not, but it never gets so involved so as to distract from the main purpose of the book, which is to describe the rise and fall of LCTM.

What is also clear is that the author has a soft corner for Merriwhether, the brain and the soul behind LCTM. The Nobel laureates at LCTM come off as having too much faith in the mathematical certainty of their formulae, while the experienced traders at LCTM as also having drunk the kool-aid. These people, like Hillibrand, Haghani, and others believed so much in their skills and the correctness and certitude of the formulae that they staked their personal wealth on LCTM's success. Markets and investors do not always behave with mathematical preciseness, nor can their behavior be modeled and predicted using past performance or normal distributions (bell curves). Events can cause highly improbable events to turn into self-fulfilling prophecies. Markets are interconnected, and when things go bad, the correlation turns to one. Leverage by itself is not bad, provided liquidity is not a concern. You can be illiquid, and you can be leveraged, but not at the same time. These are just some of the lessons the author draws our attention to.

One drawback listed by many reviewers of this book is that the book is not technical enough. Which is fair enough. However, it would be quite difficult to write a book that did justice to the twin objectives of recounting the events and history of LCTM as well providing enough technical details and background into the various theorems and intricacies of the financial instruments used by LCTM. Such a book would either run the risk of becomg very long, thus losing much of its intended audience, or become disjointed, with the narrative struggling to juggle between the characters, the plot, and the technical details. There are other highly rated books like 'Inventing Money' that are more technical in nature, and could be read in conjunction with 'When Genius Failed'.

Some other books suggested:
Inventing Money: The Story of Long-Term Capital Management and the Legends Behind It
The Scam: Who Won, Who Lost, Who Got Away?
The Smartest Guys in the Room: The Amazing Rise and Scandalous Fall of Enron
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-09-15 01:58:10 EST)
05-31-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  One of the best books I've read
Reviewer Permalink
The book is a thorough account on what happened at LTCM. Absolutely fantastic writing skills. What I liked the most though is how Goldman came on top as usual :-) Interesting, hein? Goldman is amazing.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-08-23 00:23:14 EST)
05-24-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Markets are not science
Reviewer Permalink
Not a light read, but a captivating one - in part reads like a horror story where you're dragged into a sequence of events both exciting in their nature and progression, and epic in their ultimate failure. I'm not a finance type, but Roger Lowenstein did a great job of explaining how the hedge fund operated, and the types of trades it was involved in. It certainly throws a bucket of cold water on Econometrics, and demonstrates that beyond a certain point, economics is as much of an art, as it is a science.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-06-01 00:12:33 EST)
05-14-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  good read
Reviewer Permalink
This is a great book detailing the failed Long term capital management (LTCM). Do not need a lot of time to read, and serves a great cautionary story for investors. Good buy.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-05-25 00:12:28 EST)
03-17-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  "It was the arrogance of people... who really believed that they were more intelligent than others."
Reviewer Permalink
Even supposedly smart people can get utterly carried away. Perhaps they weren't as smart as they believed. In any case, we should always remember to take information and advice from "the experts" with a grain of salt.

Incidentally, Bear Stearns was the firm that cleared LTCM's trades. And now, like LTCM, Bear Stearns is pretty much no longer.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-05-17 01:34:25 EST)
03-16-08 5 1\1
(Hide Review...)  Entertaining read on complex subject
Reviewer Permalink
It's a common story, a group of extremely talented and smart individuals done in by their own hubris, greed, and carelessness. What distinguishes this story from others is that we get a reasonably lucid description of the complex world or hedge funds and exotic investments. There is also good storytelling here of a largely unkown firm of a couple hundred people, that nearly took down several major banks with them.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-05-17 01:34:25 EST)
03-08-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Excellent and education read
Reviewer Permalink
History repeats itself and one can be better armed for volatile times when they understand the catalysts that lead to LTCM's failure. Excessive leverage and simple stress testing is not enough anymore. As Buffet says, When the tide goes down, we see who was swimming without their bathing suits.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-03-16 17:29:26 EST)
02-29-08 5 1\1
(Hide Review...)  The story of of Long-Term Capital Management
Reviewer Permalink
I liked this book so much that I have re-read it twice in row before writing this review. As you see, this book is so popular that I'm the 200th reviewer of this title on amazon.com.

The book tells the story of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM), a hedge fund founded in 1994 by John Meriwether (the former vice-chairman and head of bond trading at Salomon Brothers). On its board of directors were Myron Scholes and Robert C. Merton, who shared the 1997 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics. Initially enormously successful with annualized returns of over 40% in its first years, in 1998 it lost $4.6 billion in less than four months and became a prominent example of the risk potential in the hedge fund industry. On the precipice of not only an American financial disaster, the fund's imminent collapse had significant international monetary implications, jeopardizing the financial system itself. Prompted by deep concerns about LTCM's thousands of derivative contracts, in order to avoid a panic by banks and investors worldwide, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York stepped in to organize a bailout with the various major banks at risk.

Roger Lowenstein, the author of this book, is an American financial journalist, reported for the Wall Street Journal for more than a decade, including two years writing its Heard on the Street column, 1989 to 1991. He is also the author of the famous title "Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist", published in 1995, which is one of my favorite books. What is prominent about the Lowenstein's way of writing is the ability to analyze the facts that he describes. The books of Roger Lowenstein not only improve the reader's awareness in a field of economy, but also educate the reader by giving the knowledge of the market and its behavior, and by developing the abilities to understand the financial system better.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-03-08 23:03:24 EST)
02-11-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Why Hubris Failed
Reviewer Permalink
I managed to finish this book in two days: it's that good. Particularly the first half is very hard to put down. It is right up there with "Liar's Poker" and "Barbarians at the Gate" in terms of gripping storytelling. The author presents a very convincing case study of a briliant group of individuals who seemed blind to the possibility of failure, so much so that they continually plowed their own savings and bonuses (and then some) into shrinking opportunities all the while pushing out their original investors. There are probably half a dozen ways where these guys went wrong (trusting too much in the differential equations they used to model the stock market was only one of them) but the author lets you make up your own mind about these guys. He never comes off as judgemental or overly critical of them.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-03-01 10:07:22 EST)
02-03-08 4 1\1
(Hide Review...)  When Math Failed.
Reviewer Permalink
The death of Longterm Capital Management (LTCM) is one of the biggest collapses in modern financial history. So big, the Fed stepped in and made a number of major banks pony up serious dough to cover LTCMs loses so that the world financial markets didn't tank. This book is the story of the very smart dudes (multiple noble prize winners, and a bunch of Phds) who made the classic finance mistake of thinking that markets would behave as the models said they would. Well, turns out, markets don't always do what they're told, and if your leveraged to the tune of billions of dollars, you can get yourself in a world of trouble when things go south.

This is a fast read and actually pretty educational if you want to get a sense of how the highly quantitative hedge funds work. Definitely worth checking out if you're a business book geek like me.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-02-04 02:20:55 EST)
02-02-08 4 2\2
(Hide Review...)  When Math Failed.
Reviewer Permalink
The death of Longterm Capital Management (LTCM) is one of the biggest collapses in modern financial history. So big, the Fed stepped in and made a number of major banks pony up serious dough to cover LTCMs loses so that the world financial markets didn't tank. This book is the story of the very smart dudes (multiple noble prize winners, and a bunch of Phds) who made the classic finance mistake of thinking that markets would behave as the models said they would. Well, turns out, markets don't always do what they're told, and if your leveraged to the tune of billions of dollars, you can get yourself in a world of trouble when things go south.

This is a fast read and actually pretty educational if you want to get a sense of how the highly quantitative hedge funds work. Definitely worth checking out if you're a business book geek like me.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-02-05 03:00:46 EST)
01-28-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Shakes confidence in revered institutions
Reviewer Permalink
In addition to great entertainment, this story helps the novice investor moderate and perhaps avoid investement fad.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-02-14 18:09:45 EST)
01-23-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  When Genius Failed
Reviewer Permalink
This book is a must read for anyone who is interested in understanding how wallstreet functions.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-02-14 18:09:45 EST)
01-07-08 3 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Here we go again!
Reviewer Permalink
Interesting read...After this debacle, you'd think that the "pros" on Wall Street would've learned something. But all you have to do is look at the current mortgage/credit mess to realize that they haven't. I guess there will always be bubbles and bubbles always burst!
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-02-14 18:09:45 EST)
01-06-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Funny how history repeats itself...
Reviewer Permalink
I believe that this was the first book I ever read on the markets. And after reading many, many more, this may still be the best. This story of hubris, greed and, ultimately, ignorance of the realities of the market is certainly timeless; many successful traders have believed their own hype for many generations - and many more will do so in the future.

Lowenstein's wonderfully written account of the infamous blowup of LTCM is truly one for the ages. Although a knowledge of financial markets helps, a lack of it didn't prevent this novice from loving this book. Now, many years later, as a much more experienced market participant, I can truly appreciate the lessons gleaned from this story. As I write this, the housing meltdown is in full force, and a developing credit crisis and derivatives unwind may make LTCM look like a fairy tale.

Market history is rife with stories of traders and investors who failed to acknowledge the risk, simply because they were far too overconfident in their abilities to minimize - or even eliminate - it. Such foolishness is always paid for in the end. What is even more remarkable is how little we seem to learn from our lessons, and how the past seems to be repeating itself with increasing frequency. While I would hope this book would be a warning to all of those who would foolishly - and dangerously - claim that "this time is different", I know better. Instead, simply being aware that such calamities will continue to happen until, quite possibly, the earth crashes into the sun, can at least be of some comfort on the short side.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-02-14 18:09:45 EST)
01-05-08 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  When hubris prevailed
Reviewer Permalink
"When Genius Failed" is an engaging chronicle of the rise and fall of Long-Term Capital Management. Folks who were reading the business pages in the late-90s will remember the sudden travails of this fund -- and of the capital markets in general. And even if you have just a passing interest in finance, you'll find Lowenstein's book fascinating. He profiles the principals of the management company, their investment philosophy, the fund's tremendous early success, and the circumstances and decisions that led to LTCM's collapse.

Reading the book is a bit like watching a disaster movie. You know dire things are about to happen, but it's hard not to be transfixed by the story. Lowenstein chalks up the fund's failure to a number of events and ill-conceived decisions. Central to the collapse, of course, is the tremendous hubris of the company's senior management. I'm still not sure if LTCM's collapse was due to a perfect storm of unlikely events, or was an inevitable consequence of the firm's investment approach. But whatever the case, Lowenstein asserts that the human element played a primary role. Pride goeth before the fall.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-02-14 18:09:45 EST)
12-02-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  A story of people failing to recognize their limitations
Reviewer Permalink
This is a valuable book to read as it delves deep into people making very big mistakes. If these geniuses can make such errors of judgement, surely anyone can. That's why it is important to read this story and learn valuable lessons through their failures. The partners of Long Term Capital Management were arrogant and too proud for their own good, but what really brought them down was their failure to recognize their own weaknesses and limitations. Warren Buffett talks about staying in his "circle of competence" as being one of the keys to his success as an investor. Some of LTCM partners were brilliant mathematicians. They were probably better suited to more scientific jobs. Unfortunately, they ventured beyond their circle of competence. Investing and finance is clearly not a pure science. As Lowenstein states one can predict how a drop of cream dropped into a cup of coffee can spread using hard scientific models, but the LTCM partners foolishly thought that they could extrapolate the hard scientific laws to finance and economics. One of the partners, Hilibrand, who was smart enough yo get 2 Phds from MIT was not smart enough to recognize this fairly simple concept. It could happen to anyone. We have certainly witnessed it with many Presidents and world leaders.

Another valuable lesson of this book is how people can fool themselves. "You must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool." The partners wanted so desperately to turn finance into a pure mathematical science. They quantified the chances of the fund losing say 5% in one month much like how a mathematician can tell you the chances of your winning the lottery. They believed and fooled themselves into believing their models. It does not become true just because you so desperately want it to be true.

Final interesting point in this book (as well as Den of Thieves, a book about white collar criminals) is how people who fail so badly in their job go on to do quite well financially. The partners of LTCM lost about 4 billion dollars in 4 months but some went on and raised 250 million to start a new fund. It would be interesting to find out how that fund fares in the future.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2008-01-05 11:11:32 EST)
11-18-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Fascinating Story
Reviewer Permalink
"When Genius Failed" reads like a best-selling novel, but happens to be based on real events. This book covers the rise and fall of Long-Term Capital Management, a highly visible and famous hedge fund.

Roger Lowenstein expertly threads source material, such as internal memos, macroeconomic theory and a sense for the personalities involved in this story, into a dynamic and page-turning publication.

This is a must-read for those interested in the personalities, dynamics and climate of the fast-paced financial system of the late 1990s in the United States. More generally, even if you do not fit into the group just described, "When Genius Failed" serves as an excellent read on its own merits, regardless of the underlying subject matter.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-12-01 19:37:13 EST)
10-07-07 5 1\1
(Hide Review...)  Illuminating and Fascinating Business Classic
Reviewer Permalink
Roger Lowenstein's 'When Genius Failed' has been justly acclaimed as a business classic. In the wake of the 2007 credit crunch, Lowenstein's riveting study of the 1998 collapse of Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) retains its relevance and has much to teach market observers.

Ironically, LTCM had much going for it. The firm was founded by savvy Salomon Brothers veterans, and its luminaries included Nobel Prize winner Myron Scholes, the creator of the acclaimed Black-Scholes options pricing model. LTCM was also established on the premise of hedging risk and thereby minimizing financial loss.

The unraveling of LTCM, lucidly and compelling depicted by Lowenstein, has many parallels with the subprime mortgage meltdown of 2007:
--An unwavering faith in financial engineering, coupled with the erroneous belief that financial structures will protect against substantial losses.
--The insatiable search for higher yields in crowded markets, which ultimately drives even savvy managers to investments with unfortunate risk profiles.
--The use of significant amounts of borrowed capital to boost returns. Sadly, the use of leverage forces the rapid liquidation of positions to repay lenders during declining market conditions, excarbating market slides and the withdrawal of credit.
--Hubris. Hedge fund managers and successful traders tend to get overconfident after a run of good luck, leading them to take riskier positions with borrowed capital.

Together, these factors led to the downfall of LTCM and to the 2007 subprime meltdown.

Kudos to Roger Lowenstein for demystifying the arcana of derivatives trading and the Black-Scholes model-- if you want an account that describes these subjects lucidly, this is your book. As well, Lowenstein offers a riveting depiction of the 1998 market slide that sent LTCM reeling toward insolvency, and the rescue events coordinated by the Federal Reserve and undertaken by an international capital consortium.

Bottom line: a five star financial read that maintains its relevance.

(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-11-19 08:36:38 EST)
10-06-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Incredible story
Reviewer Permalink
Two things make this a great book: a riveting story (losing hundreds of millions a day is mind-boggling) and excellent writing. Roger Lowenstein, first of all, is a master of using analogies explain complex things, like financial derivaties and how the big investment banks operate. Long Term Capital Management was a gang of complex gamblers (including a couple of Nobel Prize winners to boot) that employed equations and theories from the academic world of finance to build an enormously successful hedge fund that sucked in the big banks of Wall Street. Lowenstein details the rise of LTCM (it seems it had to have taken place with an interesting mixture of Luck, Smarts, and Arrogance) and their massive and rapid failure with a cadence that makes it difficult to put the book down. When Genius Failed offers a glimpse into the world of big-time finance and the unrepentant and bizarre characters that it attracts (the money these guys rake it in and how they do it will stun you if you aren't familiar with Wall Street). Highly recommended - even a decade after the collapse of LTCM!
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-11-19 08:36:38 EST)
09-20-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  A fantastic tale of risk, reward and rue
Reviewer Permalink
It's a wonderfully written account of a remarkable risk taking adventrue crafted by the best of wall street's arbitrage mavens and acclaimed academic laureates. Author has done a supreb job as a slueth who followed the trail that aparantly divulged very little about its journey into the financial debacle that could've brought the whole financial world down. Throughout the work of the author, one can perceive the vastness of his research into this matter, his depth of knowledge in the world of arbitrage and his exquisite story telling skill.

He portrayed each character with great care that went above and beyond what I expected. Though at times the deatils seemed a bit overwhelming and unnecessary, it was enjoyable nonetheless.
Besides gaining a great deal of knowledge about bond trading, risk arbitrage and about all the parties associated with it, it also gave me a good picture about the human inter-relations that plays into the rise and fall of such wall street ventures. One thing I wanted to see in this book is Greenspan's involvement and opinion on this. But, not sure why his role in the shoring up of LTCM wasn't covered. I earlier read a book on Greenspan where his rebuttal on the criticism of Fed's involvement with the bail out LTCM was deatiled. I expected Lowenstein to cover this as well.

I first came across the story of LTCM from Taleb's "Black Swan", then went to wikipedia to know more about it, and finally got a hold of this book and I'm glad that I did. I love real life stories where turns of events and drama unfold from the work of an invisible hand, not from that of a gifted writer. I would love to see the story of LTCM on big screen one of these days. I caught a glimse of the NOVA's episode "The Trillion Dollar Bet [2000]" which covered LTCM, but I couldn't get a hold of the full content.

It's a must read for anyone who has interest in wall street, business, risk and how they all work. Lowenstein is a great writer in my opinion and I will move on to reading his pervious work on Buffet.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-10-07 01:49:26 EST)
09-20-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  great book
Reviewer Permalink
Great read. Didn't want to put it down and finished it in a few days. Great to read how these smart guys lost all their money by being too greedy. Thumbs up for sure.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-10-07 01:49:26 EST)
09-12-07 4 1\1
(Hide Review...)  Great insight into market movements
Reviewer Permalink
The LTCM story is fascinating, and Lowenstein makes clear enough what kind of 'hedging' they were doing. The most valuable details to me were the intertwining of instituions and trades. I thought it illuminated how forced trading and fear can spread. Also captures the mood of the nineties well, I'd like to find detailed history of other market eras.
And from an academic viewpoint, his discussion of 'fat tails' was great.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-09-21 08:44:18 EST)
09-08-07 4 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Playing Dice With The Universe
Reviewer Permalink
Like the RMS Titanic, Long-Term Capital Management was the engineering miracle of its day, designed to ride an ocean of volatility and liquidity in high style. Like the Titanic, LTCM became a shibboleth for catastrophe. Roger Lowenstein's "When Genius Failed" takes you along for the hedge fund's short, ill-fated ride.

Published in 2000, two years after Long-Term's collapse necessitated a Fed-encouraged bailout to forestall a second Great Depression, "When Genius Failed" makes macro economics almost readable. It also makes the somewhat incomprehensible details of Long-Term's management and breakdown very understandable to laypeople like me.

The central idea of Long-Term, formed early on when they were active mostly in the fixed income market, was that value spreads between various financial vehicles, say a pair of related bonds or derivatives, could be tracked by computer and calculated with minute precision, thus allowing a speculator to bet on the expected difference. Being right was thus not a challenge, it was only the ability to put down enough money on your bets to make the game worthwhile. Long-Term started out with enough money, and quickly accumulated more, though the fact this money was not theirs was a large part of their problem.

"Backed by their models, they felt more certain than others did - almost invincible," Lowenstein writes. "Given enough time, given enough capital, the young geniuses...felt they could do no wrong, and Meriwether...began to believe the geniuses were right."

"Meriwether" is John Meriwether, the founder and managing partner of Long-Term Capital Management. As described by Lowenstein, he was not the greediest or most self-promotional guy, cautioning associates in one instance that dickering about profit-enhancement was a bit much given things just a few dozen city blocks away in Harlem. "J.M." liked to make his money quietly and, like his LTCM partners, didn't enjoy a particularly lavish lifestyle. But he liked being king, and with his partners ran an astonishingly callous, risk-taking business that threw its elbows about with disdain.

"The pursuit of money may have been central to their lives, but as is often the case, it went far beyond any conceivable lifestyle needs," Lowenstein writes. "The money was a scorecard, a proof of their superlative trading skills."

Many say Long-Term's fatal flaw was greed, but that's not true. What sunk them, as Lowenstein richly recounts, was hubris. Thus, when spreads narrowed and profit-making opportunities shrunk, Long-Term extended itself far more, "picking up nickels in front of bulldozers," in order to sustain their elite reputation.

Lowenstein makes the finances comprehensible and exciting. His writing is ironically drier when it comes to capturing the people and their interactions, probably hobbled by the unwillingness of many key players to talk with him. One wishes for more insight on what the partners were thinking as things fell apart and they appeared on the verge of setting off an international financial collapse.

But if sober-sided analysis of a key moment in American financial history is your cup of tea, you will want to read this sturdy primer in the extent and limits of human ego when up against the world's market forces. Hedge funds may pride themselves on daring such limits, and betting "against the gods" as it were, but "When Genius Failed" shows mortals still have a few tricks left to learn.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-09-12 20:07:20 EST)
09-03-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Day of Reckoning in Greenwich (Heimlich for Hedgies)
Reviewer Permalink
Roger Lowenstein is one of the few current writers who can make financial stories interesting; he has also written for the Wall Street Journal and a biography of uber-investor Warren Buffett.

In some ways this book is an update on characters we first met in Michael Lewis' Liar's Poker. John Meriwether was drummed out of Salomon for not adequately supervising the bond desk, where a trader was regularly telling fibs to the Fed. Of course, Wall Street is loaded with second acts and Meriwether re-assembles his gang of boy-geniuses and know-it-all professors at his own shop, LTCM. Every one on Wall Street knew that his team made the money for Salomon, so a frenzy begins over who can give him the most money to invest, with minimal interest and no collateral.

Things run well at first, profits for the fund soar for a few years. Then as is inevitable, others copy the strategies. It is really not complicated, you just need all the liquidity, market intelligence, and cojones in the world. Eventually the return on these initial winning plays trends down to the cost of capital, so LTCM starts to chase riskier bets to boost the returns.

Eventually things go wrong. The Nobel prize winning academicians say the fund is hedged so that it can not lose money in consecutive quarters, yet a melt-down begins. Wall Street loves the smell of blood in the water; front-runners make the situation worse, until finally a bail-out is necessary.

Warren Buffett flirts with the boys from Greenwich, but he does not consumate the deal, so it falls to a consortium of investment bankers to make an equity investment to stabilize the dizzying rate of descent. As was widely reported at the time, the Fed and the NYSE, although making no investment on their own, had to push the investment banks into doing something to save their own game.

These characters did not fade away however. John Corzine masterminded the bail-out, although he overlooked his own shop's blatant front-running and overstepped his authority to invest. After his partners at Goldman booted him in a boardroom coup, he became the governor of New Jersey and current poster boy encouraging the public to wear seat belts when speeding and driving distracted.

Buffett is still allowed to actively manage his insurance premiums, although stock holders have had some years when they questioned why. Some of the others were able to get their names in the paper once again, for tolerating market timing in mutual funds, to the obvious detriment of long term investors. Even Meriwhether has re-emerged to start another fund, no reports yet on its performance.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-09-07 12:41:23 EST)
09-03-07 5 1\1
(Hide Review...)  Day of Reckoning in Greenwich (Heimlich for Hedgies)
Reviewer Permalink
Roger Lowenstein is one of the few current writers who can make financial stories interesting; he has also written for the Wall Street Journal and a biography of uber-investor Warren Buffett.

In some ways this book is an update on characters we first met in Michael Lewis' Liar's Poker. John Meriwether was drummed out of Salomon for not adequately supervising the bond desk, where a trader was regularly telling fibs to the Fed. Of course, Wall Street is loaded with second acts and Meriwether re-assembles his gang of boy-geniuses and know-it-all professors at his own shop, LTCM. Every one on Wall Street knew that his team made the money for Salomon, so a frenzy begins over who can give him the most money to invest, with minimal interest and no collateral.

Things run well at first, profits for the fund soar for a few years. Then as is inevitable, others copy the strategies. It is really not complicated, you just need all the liquidity, market intelligence, and cojones in the world. Eventually the return on these initial winning plays trends down to the cost of capital, so LTCM starts to chase riskier bets to boost the returns.

Eventually things go wrong. The Nobel prize winning academicians say the fund is hedged so that it can not lose money in consecutive quarters, yet a melt-down begins. Wall Street loves the smell of blood in the water; front-runners make the situation worse, until finally a bail-out is necessary.

Warren Buffett flirts with the boys from Greenwich, but he does not consumate the deal, so it falls to a consortium of investment bankers to make an equity investment to stabilize the dizzying rate of descent. As was widely reported at the time, the Fed and the NYSE, although making no investment on their own, had to push the investment banks into doing something to save their own game.

These characters did not fade away however. John Corzine masterminded the bail-out, although he overlooked his own shop's blatant front-running and overstepped his authority to invest. After his partners at Goldman booted him in a boardroom coup, he became the governor of New Jersey and current poster boy encouraging the public to wear seat belts when speeding and driving distracted.

Buffett is still allowed to actively manage his insurance premiums, although stock holders have had some years when they questioned why. Some of the others were able to get their names in the paper once again, for tolerating market timing in mutual funds, to the obvious detriment of long term investors. Even Meriwhether has re-emerged to start another fund, no reports yet on its performance.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-09-09 14:44:14 EST)
08-29-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Shakespearean Tragedy meets WallStreet
Reviewer Permalink
If you're enticed by the idea of the tragic hero, the story of Long Term Capital Management will tickle your fancy. Lowenstein turns the partners of a firm into modern day Macbeths. The book starts toward the end of the real life story, with the bank managers meeting at the Federal Reserve to discuss how they should deal with LTCM and the men who put the entire U.S. economy on the brink of collapse. It then goes back to the beginning of John Meriwether and his crew of geniuses that created Long Term. Each character has their distinct qualities and its the relationships between them that drive the book. They rose with their intelligence and their unbelievable arrogance, and came tumbling down even faster.

This book would stand strongly on its own as a piece of fiction but the fact that it is all real just makes it even better. The book is a must read for anyone interested in the world of finance, but it is just as good for anyone else who enjoys a rise and fall drama. For me it is the modern equivalent of Shakespeare's Macbeth. Ambitious men rise and fall. One loses his entire net worth, $500 million, in a month. But its not the numbers that hold the book together, its the feeling you get as a reader. You really feel like you know and understand the partners. Lowenstein does a great job of simplifying what exactly it was they did to make and lose all their money.
If you have a math brain, an interest in finance, or you simply love drama and tragedy, this book will fit well.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-09-04 09:52:12 EST)
08-27-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Timley Reading 9 Years Afterwards
Reviewer Permalink
This is a fantastic story about how pride and cockiness ultimately led to the meteoric rise and even more rapid and stratospheric fall of one of the most infamous hedge funds. The author wrote a fantasticly good tale that was well balanced and flowed smoothly. This was a surprisingly quick read. It is even more astounding to read this story at this particular time. This past August is exactly nine years since LTCM failed and the events of August 2007 mirror those of August 1998 so closely it is deeply concerning. This time around the scope is much wider than just one hedge fund. What is even more interesting is the founder of LTCM and his team got their start in mortgage backed securities decades before. The Federal Reserve's brokered bailout of LTCM seems to exacerbated the moral hazard we see today. I highly recommend those concerned with the financial services industry read this story. Especially in light of recent events. Although LTCM was not limited to mortgage backed securities, their trading strategy mirrors many of those firms that have failed recently. A very well written book that flows quite smoothly and quickly. Although somewhat sympathetic to many of the characters involved, punches are still thrown. Some of the players involved in this story are still in the industry today. What is truly disappointing, not about the book, but about the outcome, is how many of the key players, partucularly the least repentent, walked away from the wreckage fairly unscathed other than their reputation. They certainly weren't much worse than they were before LTCM started - many actually became in demand. An interesting footnote for the industry and an interesting lesson: better to fail big than to not succeed at all.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-08-30 15:48:34 EST)
08-20-07 4 1\1
(Hide Review...)  A story of mathematical precision vs. human unpredictability
Reviewer Permalink
This classic Wall Street story is another must-read for anyone with an interest in money management. When Genius Failed chronicles the failure of the hedge fund Long Term Capital Management (LTCM), a pioneer in quantitative investment strategies. With roots from the renowned Salomon investment bank, LTCM gathered some of the world's top financial gurus to design mathematical arbitrage strategies so well planned, they were widely regarded as having virtually no risk. Among the mathematical wizards was Myron Scholes, co-creator of the Black-Scholes model.

After several years of handsome returns, this formula turned out too good to be true. After convincing investment banks and clients to pour billions of dollars into this near-"riskless" fund, tragedy struck in 1998. A credit crisis in Asia prompted a chain reaction of panic that the fund's mathematical models could not anticipate. The story of this fund's collapse proves that markets are not efficient. It is a lesson that precision calculations in the world of finance, no matter how correct or ingenious, are no match for human irrationality when panic strikes.

Amplifying the unforeseen risk of the fund were human errors made by the principals. The firm's superior performance depended on incredible leverage (borrowed money), but that leverage also led to LTCM's demise when the margin calls hit. The principals also deviated from their core investment strategy when arbitrage opportunities started to dry up; they began making directional bets and speculating, something for which mathematical models are just inadequate for quantifying the risk.

One disadvantage of this book is that it focuses so much on the people involved that it sacrifices explanation of the market forces behind the Asian currency crisis. I felt that some chapters contained too many dry details on the interaction between the LTCM principals and the banks.

The advantage of its focus on people is that the reader can see many of today's Wall Street icons in action. Almost a continuation of Liar's Poker, many of the same Salomon traders including John Meriwether are pivotal to LTCM. Warren Buffett and George Soros play a role, allowing readers to see their investment acumen at work. Many Wall Street characters and investment banks still prevalent in today's news were plugged into the LTCM fiasco.

Because of the high-profile characters and Wall Street firms involved with LTCM, this is a great read for students aspiring for a career on the Street. It also provides good insight into trading strategies and the hedge fund world. I would recommend When Genius Failed to anyone with an interest in investing.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-08-27 03:11:26 EST)
08-16-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Nothing Could be More Timely!!!!
Reviewer Permalink
This book is excellent and illustrates the climate of the market at the time of the collapse, as well as the particulars of LTCM.

With a credit crunch currently plaguing the markets, and hedge funds suffering with losses . . . nothing could be more timely. The parallels between the events around LTCM and the daily happenings in this summer's markets are unbelievably similar. This book could almost as easily be written about a firm today.

This is a MUST READ for those who want to understand better what is happening today - and how to protect themselves and benefit from it!
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-08-20 07:30:03 EST)
07-27-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  A MUST READ for every investment professional Esp.. for Arbitragers..
Reviewer Permalink
Most of the books written on the subject of investment can be easily recommended as a replacement for sleeping pills. This book is a clear exception to that and it is like a hollywood thriller. I enjoyed every page of this book though the tragedy at the end is well known in advance. In my opinion this book should be the textbook for every investment professional, who is over confident about his skills especially when in arbitrage.

A Must Must read for every Arbitrage Trader..!
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-08-16 14:42:18 EST)
05-14-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  A Great Read!
Reviewer Permalink
What an exciting book! Although you won't learn much about investing from this book, you will enjoy the ride from the beginning to the end. Long-Term Capital Management held Wall Street by its hands and thought it was on top of the world. Well, considering how much profits they made, they were. However, people at LTCM soon found out that maybe they weren't as smart as they think.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-07-26 23:52:53 EST)
05-09-07 5 0\4
(Hide Review...)  Shipped quickly - excellent quality
Reviewer Permalink
Transaction was flawless - this book is great too! The author writes in such a way as to make these seemingly sophisticated and complex transactions appear understandable. Great read!!!!!
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-07-06 04:24:20 EST)
04-30-07 5 1\4
(Hide Review...)  Well-researched and Written
Reviewer Permalink
Cheers to the author that can explain the rise and fall of LTCM to an idiot like me.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-07-06 04:24:20 EST)
04-21-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  This guy can write!
Reviewer Permalink
So many business books are either vague popularizations that show no insight into the company, or read like they were written by the company's investment relations or marketing department, or are dry technical reads.

That is definitely not the case with "When Genius Failed." Lowenstein has literally written a page-turner. It's like a good detective novel (except you know the ending). The descriptions of the personalities involved and missteps taken are incredibly insightful. It's like you know them personally. And to top it off, the book provides real portable lessons as well.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-05-01 11:03:49 EST)
04-14-07 4 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Interesting book
Reviewer Permalink
It is a very intersting subject. However, I think that parts of the book are not very well written and a not so informed reader finds it very quickly borring. You need to have a certain knowledge about the functionning of the financial markets. I like this book.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-07-06 04:24:20 EST)
04-14-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Great insight
Reviewer Permalink
I liked the book very much. One probably needs to be in the financial sector to enjoy it properly as terminology is used all over the place.

The way the story unravels is great and for someone who's not on the Wall Street it uncovers how things are done from an insider's perspective. I'd like to read more books of the same author.

It also changed the way I thought about Nobel prize winners like Scholes, it shows we're all humans and can make (or get dragged into) mistakes.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-07-06 04:24:20 EST)
03-27-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Complex story, easy delivery
Reviewer Permalink
This is a really well written book. Mr. Lowenstein does a very good job of painting all the characters so you know them a little better as you read the book and appreciate what they did or didn't do. I took many things away from this book, not all consistent with other reviews here.

I actually felt sympathy for the LTCM team. Wanting to make money is not a crime. Wanting to squeeze every dollar out in business is not really bad (Wall mart squeezes all its supplier). LTCM actually squeezed the big banks! As I read the book, I felt sorry for Meriwether and his team. I guess, they paid the price for being arrogant and for living on the edge with margin, but, they really didn't do anything illegal.

I had no idea about LTCM and its collapse and this book really does a good job in giving you the entire picture. You can make your own judgment about Meriwether and his company, but, at the very least you will be a new perspective after reading this book. You will realize how a small number of players can really move the market. You will realize how small time investors like us can really be helpless in many situations. You will learn a little more about hedge funds and their working. This is a complex story to digest for non-finance guys, but, it is written very well for an easy read.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-04-13 10:09:45 EST)
03-26-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Complex story, easy delivery
Reviewer Permalink
This is a really well written book. Mr. Lowenstein does a very good job of painting all the characters so you know them a little better as you read the book and appreciate what they did or didn't do. I took many things away from this book, not all consistent with other reviews here.

I actually felt sympathy for the LTCM team. Wanting to make money is not a crime. Wanting to squeeze every dollar out in business is not really bad (Wall mart squeezes all its supplier). LTCM actually squeezed the big banks! As I read the book, I felt sorry for Meriwether and his team. I guess, they paid the price for being arrogant and for living on the edge with margin, but, they really didn't do anything illegal.

I had no idea about LTCM and its collapse and this book really does a good job in giving you the entire picture. You can make your own judgment about Meriwether and his company, but, at the very least you will be a new perspective after reading this book. You will realize how a small number of players can really move the market. You will realize how small time investors like us can really be helpless in many situations. You will learn a little more about hedge funds and their working. This is a complex story to digest for non-finance guys, but, it is written very well for an easy read.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-04-10 15:13:39 EST)
03-13-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Thoroughly entertaining
Reviewer Permalink
The book is the story of LTCM. As often happens in the markets, a fund starts brilliantly and then crashes spectacularly. LTCM is but one of many examples. Based on mathematical models, the fund was doing very well for a while. Success brings confidence, and the managers started changing the methodology, became reckless with risk management and ended up with overgeared positions. At the end, as it happens, just about everything went wrong. The result - near collapse of world markets.

Very interesting read. I think especially useful for traders. Taleb's "Fooled by Randomness" was coming to mind continuously while reading this book.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-03-27 06:48:00 EST)
03-08-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Gripping!
Reviewer Permalink
I loved this book. I've read most of the books about Wall St. and this is probably my favorite. Its well written, concise, and I found myself completely engrossed in the story of the rise and fall of LTCM. If you are interested in financial history, hedge funds, Wall St., or the markets you really have to buy it.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-03-14 11:37:51 EST)
03-06-07 4 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  Every pride hath a fall
Reviewer Permalink
what is more amazing than the scale of the LTCM debacle is how relatively
unknown the whole thing is, compared to say something like Enron, of course LTCM wasn't a fraud like Enron (except for some bending the rules maybe), but it could have easily disrupted the entire financial market system if the Fed (and the Banks) had not stepped in for a bailout.

LTCM is a perfect example of the fact that even very smart people can make
very big mistakes, these guys had the best economic minds (Nobel winners)
on their team, and still they managed to screw up big, teaches you a lot
about human fallibility, anyone interested in investing should read this book, just to understand the fact that no matter how confident you are
about something, you can still end up making mistakes, and that can
prove to be very costly especially when you are hugely leveraged like
LTCM was, I give the book 4 stars since the prose gets economically
dense sometimes, but on the whole its very readable and totally worth
reading.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-03-09 14:11:26 EST)
02-02-07 5 1\1
(Hide Review...)  Great account of flawed genius
Reviewer Permalink
An easy to read narrative of the rise and spectacular collapse of LTCM. Lowenstein provides a good balance between the technical aspects of LTCM's trades and the more human aspects of the story. The secret of their success was the use of excessive leverage to boost otherwise ordinary returns (supposedly 1% per annum on an unlevered basis) and the ability to keep costs down by dazzling their counterparties with their brains and size. In the end though, greed and stubborness dragged them down as they ventured into markets where their "arbitrage" strategies were less effective, and ardent belief in efficient markets failed to predict the scale of market moves seen in 1998.

A great read for anyone interested in markets, and useful reminder that brains alone can never bring riches (that last!)
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-03-09 14:11:26 EST)
01-31-07 5 (NA)
(Hide Review...)  An Engaging Read
Reviewer Permalink
The author has done a wonderful job of taking a very complicated topic and making it understandable by the average reader. The story is engaging and keeps the readers attention through out the entire book.
(Review Data Last Updated: 2007-02-08 00:41:57 EST)
  
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